Global review, meta-analysis and health risk assessment of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) in chicken kebab using Monte Carlo simulation method

The primary concern with Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) is their harmful effects on health, including the risk of causing cancer. This study aimed to investigate the occurrence and concentration of 16 priority PAHs (PAH16) in chicken kebabs using a systematic review approach with meta-analysis. Additionally, the study estimated the possible risk assessment of the potential carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic effects of PAHs on consumers of chicken kebabs using the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. The researchers collected data on the concentration of PAHs in chicken kebabs (grilled, smoked, roasted, or barbecued) from 99 original articles searched in the Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, Science Direct, and Google Scholar databases from 2012 to April 2022. The concentration of PAHs was then analyzed using meta-analysis, and the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) was used to evaluate the associated human health risks. The analysis showed that 68.6%, 21.1%, 7.1%, and 3.2% of chicken kebabs were prepared by grilling, smoking, barbecuing, and roasting, respectively. The meta-analysis and health risk assessment indicated that the mean values of HQ (hazard quotient) in Bap, Ace, Acy, Pyr, Flt, Flr, Nap, and Ant PAHs were 1.64, 1.38 × 10^^-2, 1.10 × 10^^-1, 1.09 × 10^^-1, 2.55 × 10^^-2, 1.60 × 10^^-1, 8.13 × 10^^-1, and 6.20 × 10^^-3, respectively. Additionally, the mean values of LTCR (Incremental Lifetime Cancer Risk) in Bap, Ace, Acy, Pyr, Flt, Flr, Nap, and Ant were 4.85 × 10^^-10, 8.06 × 10^^-13, 6.65 × 10^^-12, 3.23 × 10^^-12, 1.01 × 10^^-12, 6.38 × 10^^-12, 1.62 × 10^^-11, and 6.20 × 10^^-3, respectively. The consumption of chicken kebabs prepared by barbecuing was found to be associated with an increased risk of cancer due to the formation of carcinogenic compounds, including benzo[a]pyrene (BaP). However, the non-cancer risk ratio of consuming grilled chicken other than BaP was found to be less than 1 (HQ < 1), indicating that there is no risk of carcinogenesis caused by PAHs from the consumption of chicken kebabs worldwide. The calculated values of the LTCR caused by PAHs in the consumption of chicken kebab throughout life were compared to the maximum acceptable risk value suggested by the EPA, which in the strictest case equals one cancer case per 10,000 people. The results indicate that there is no risk of carcinogenesis caused by PAHs due to the consumption of chicken kebab worldwide.